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Asian
Shares Rise As Cyclical Stocks Lead; Aussie
Mkt +0.5%
By Rosalind Mathieson
Last update: 8:49 p.m. EDT May 4, 2009
SINGAPORE (MarketWatch) -- Asian share markets
were higher Tuesday with cyclical stocks and coal
miners rising on hopes for some stability in the
global economy, but trade was quiet with markets
shut in Japan and South Korea.
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was up 0.5% - after a
3.0% rise Monday to six-month highs - with New
Zealand's NZX-50 up 2.1%, briefly hitting its best
level since November 11.
Investors were comforted by a strong night on Wall
Street, with "quite a bit of literature from
around the world these days about economies slowly
picking up," said Peter Young, an adviser at
Forsyth Barr. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
jumped 2.6% while the S&P 500 turned positive
for the year to date.
Data from the U.S. and China in particular have been
reassuring in recent days, though there are also
signs of ongoing economic weakness and concerns
about the health of the large U.S. banks. Some
analysts have urged caution given the pace of the
recent rise in global stock markets, and the large
gains made in Asia Monday may have pre-empted Wall
Street to some extent.
"We have made a lot of money over the last
eight weeks and continue to think the trick from
here will be to keep that money," said analyst
Jeffrey D. Saut at Raymond James Equity Research in
the U.S. "Longer-term we are pretty optimistic.
Near-term, we are cautious."
Stocks tied to the economic cycle led the way in
Sydney, with David Jones up 6.0%, Macquarie Group up
5.2%, Boral up 7.5% and Rio Tinto up 3.8%.
Coal-sector stocks took their lead from a rise in
U.S. coal shares Monday after Goldman Sachs raised
its coverage view on the companies to attractive
from neutral, saying there were several reasons to
buy coal stocks now, including expectations for an
economic recovery in China.
Maccarthur Coal was up 4.2% with Centennial Coal
rising 9.6%, while Whitehaven Coal added 2.5%.
Singapore's Noble Group said it was increasing its
cash offer for Gloucester Coal, calling on the board
of Gloucester to act immediately to declare the
offer superior to a proposed merger deal with
Whitehaven Coal.
There was news of more capital raisings in Australia
with BlueScope Steel, the country's largest steel
maker, saying it planned to raise up to A$1.41
billion through an entitlement offer to cut debt and
strengthen its balance sheet. That stock was
suspended from trade.
Cyclical stocks were higher also in New Zealand,
with chipmaker Rayon up 13.6% after announcing a
NZ$9 million research project, to be half funded by
a government grant. Fisher & Paykel Appliances
was up 13.7%, Fletcher Building up 4.4%, Contact
Energy up 2.7% and Telecom 2.6% higher.
The euro was still stronger in currency markets as
risk appetite improved, with the single currency at
$1.3421, from $1.3405 late in New York, and at
Y132.68, from Y132.60, off an early low of Y132.35.
"I am bullish risk, so I am bullish the
euro," said ANZ Bank senior dealer Alex Sinton.
The U.S. dollar was at Y98.86, from Y98.93 in New
York, while the Australian dollar was sticking near
US$0.7400 before the Reserve Bank of Australia's
interest rate decision, with the central bank
expected to stand pat.
Despite the recent market inclination to sell the
U.S. dollar, Westpac said that, based on leading
indicators, it was the most desirable currency among
the Group of Three, followed by the euro and the
yen. "The temptation is to ignore these signals
and to be short the dollar by focusing exclusively
on improving risk appetite," said analyst
Richard Franulovich, "but sentiment is
fickle."
Spot gold was down 95 cents at $902.25 a troy ounce
after a strong performance in New York.
LME three-month copper gained 2.7% in electronic
trade after Monday's London holiday, to $4,720 a
metric ton. David Moore, an analyst at Commonwealth
of Australia, said the market was taking a
"glass is half full view" on the global
economic outlook.
Front-month Nymex crude oil futures were down 14
cents on Globex at $54.33 a barrel, having risen
$1.27 in New York.
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